Simple tools for extrapolations of human mortality in rich countries
Abstract
Description
Suitable assumptions for the Gompertz mortality law take into account the break in the time development observed recently by Wilmoth et al. They show how a drastic reduction in the birth rate and improved living conditions lead to a drastic increase in the fraction of old people in the population, and how immigration of half a percent of the population per year can mostly stop this increase.
Not only a contribution to the German federal elections; 5 pages incl.figs
Not only a contribution to the German federal elections; 5 pages incl.figs